MQ 3631 · ORD → SYR

departs 1:34 PM CT · arrives 4:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

SYR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3631 · ORD → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?