MQ 3643 · DFW → MAF

departs 8:42 AM CT · arrives 10:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
38%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 8am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

MAF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3643 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?