Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3664
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3664 · FWA → DFW
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
38%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
38%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 8.8 mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.