Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3713 · ORD → LSE
departs 10:37 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 11%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at LSE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to LSE?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
LSE usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
LSE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.