Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3733 · MYR → ORD
departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±9 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.96 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.