Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3733 · ORD → MYR
departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 12:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
9am departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.86 in
MYR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.