MQ 3768 · DFW → RAP

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:47 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 8am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RAP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.20 in

RAP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3768 · DFW → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?