Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3834 · DFW → TYR
departs 3:53 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
79%
chance · ±0 pts
+33 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
79%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at TYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to TYR?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TYR that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.84 in
TYR (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.