Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3834 · TYR → DFW
departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 6:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±9 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TYR that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.42 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.