MQ 3866 · DFW → GRK

departs 11:21 AM CT · arrives 12:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRK?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GRK that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ GRK usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

GRK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3866 · DFW → GRK

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRK?