MQ 3888 · DFW → MEM

departs 12:53 PM CT · arrives 2:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

MEM (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3888 · DFW → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?