MQ 3908 · DFW → IAH

departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

87% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3908 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?