MQ 3911 · DFW → MFE

departs 11:36 AM CT · arrives 1:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MFE?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

MFE (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3911 · DFW → MFE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFE?