MQ 3913 · SGF → DFW

departs 9:36 AM CT · arrives 11:02 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 9am departures from SGF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precip0.75 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3913 · SGF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?