MQ 3917 · ORD → CMH

departs 5:32 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.76 in

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3917 · ORD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?