MQ 3920 · AMA → DFW

departs 10:31 AM CT · arrives 11:48 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ 10am departures from AMA are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3920 · AMA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?