MQ 3944 · DFW → STL

departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 4:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.11 in

STL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,857 ft Visibility5.71429 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3944 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?