MQ 3952 · DFW → SGF

departs 10:57 AM CT · arrives 12:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
57%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip5.38 in

SGF (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3952 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?