MQ 3960 · DFW → JAN

departs 5:21 PM CT · arrives 6:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
38%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.74 in

JAN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3960 · DFW → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?