Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3992 · PHX → BUR
departs 7:17 AM MT · arrives 8:45 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.