Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3995
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3995 · DFW → CMH
departs 5:37 PM CT · arrives 9:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.17 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.