MQ 4022 · CRQ → PHX

departs 10:01 AM -03 · arrives 7:20 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CRQ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CRQ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4022 · CRQ → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?