MQ 4032 · DFW → ICT

departs 7:44 AM CT · arrives 9:09 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ICT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.93 in

ICT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4032 · DFW → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?