MQ 4032 · ICT → DFW

departs 9:36 AM CT · arrives 10:59 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.31 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.96 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4032 · ICT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?