MQ 4037 · ORD → OKC

departs 9:49 AM CT · arrives 12:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.88 in

OKC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4037 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?