MQ 4054 · ORD → SAV

departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 11:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ SAV is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAV

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.75 in

SAV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4054 · ORD → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?