MQ 4080 · BOI → PHX

departs 1:53 PM MT · arrives 3:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4080 · BOI → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?