MQ 4095 · BIL → DFW

departs 1:11 PM MT · arrives 5:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ BIL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip6.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4095 · BIL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?