MQ 4137 · ORD → LSE

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LSE?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LSE that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into LSE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

LSE (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4137 · ORD → LSE

Odds over time

How late will it get to LSE?