MQ 4160 · ORD → GSP

departs 7:59 AM CT · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ MQ's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

GSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4160 · ORD → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?