Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 4166 · DFW → TYR
departs 10:49 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to TYR?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TYR that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.93 in
TYR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.