MQ 4199 · DFW → TVC

departs 11:53 AM CT · arrives 3:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TVC?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.18 in

TVC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4199 · DFW → TVC

Odds over time

How late will it get to TVC?