MQ 4247 · DFW → GPT

departs 9:07 AM CT · arrives 10:49 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GPT?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.15 in

GPT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4247 · DFW → GPT

Odds over time

How late will it get to GPT?