MQ 4255 · DFW → FWA

departs 2:51 PM CT · arrives 6:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.28 in

FWA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4255 · DFW → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?