MQ 4328 · DFW → SGF

departs 9:29 AM CT · arrives 10:56 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

SGF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,033 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4328 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?