MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

departs 7:50 AM CT · arrives 9:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

SGF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precip0.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?