OH 5024 · DFW → LEX

departs 9:39 AM CT · arrives 12:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

LEX (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5024 · DFW → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?