OH 5089 · PHL → RIC

departs 1:52 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5089 · PHL → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?