OH 5132 · PIT → PHL

departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 4:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5132 · PIT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?