OH 5135 · PHL → PVD

departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 4:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5135 · PHL → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?