OH 5229 · DAY → PHL

departs 6:03 AM ET · arrives 7:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DAY (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5229 · DAY → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?