Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5245 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

OH 5245 · DFW → DAY

departs 8:13 PM CT · arrives 11:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DAY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

DAY (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5245 · DFW → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?