OH 5378 · BGR → PHL

departs 5:51 AM ET · arrives 7:41 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ BGR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5378 · BGR → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?