Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5420 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

OH 5420 · DFW → TUL

departs 1:57 PM CT · arrives 3:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

TUL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5420 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?