Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5430SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
OH 5430 · TVC → PHL
departs 12:09 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.