OH 5511 · PHL → PNS

departs 10:48 AM ET · arrives 12:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Arrivals into PNS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5511 · PHL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?