OH 5514 · CVG → PHL

departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 3:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5514 · CVG → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?