OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 10:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

70% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.28 in

ROA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?