Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5590 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

OH 5590 · RDU → PHL

departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5590 · RDU → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?