OH 5593 · TYS → DFW

departs 11:43 AM ET · arrives 1:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5593 · TYS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?